Dear Reader,
The trade deal is dead. The tariffs are real. And the bill lands in your mailbox.
Last Friday, US-Canada trade negotiations collapsed. By 12:01 a.m. Saturday, Washington had slapped 50% tariffs on $20 billion worth of Canadian goods. Hockey sticks. Dairy. Electronics. Steel. Canada promised to match it dollar for dollar starting September 8.
Every anchor on every network is calling this "Trump's trade war." That framing is wrong. A trade war sounds like something that happens between governments. What is actually happening is simpler. Washington just raised your prices.
Inside today's issue:
- Who actually pays a 50% tariff. It is not Canada.
- The last time Washington did this was 1930. Here is what happened next.
- The only asset class that wins regardless of who "wins" this tariff fight.
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Let me tell you what a tariff actually is.
It is a tax. The government charges it at the border. The importer pays it. Then they pass it to the retailer. Then the retailer passes it to you. Canada does not write a check to Washington. You do. Every time you buy something with Canadian steel in it. Every time you fill your refrigerator with Canadian dairy.
The Business Roundtable said it plainly last weekend. These tariffs "risk raising costs for American businesses and families." That is 200 chief executives, not gold bugs. Not conspiracists. The people who run the companies that make the stuff you buy.
Here are the facts. Under Section 338, which has never been used before in this way, Washington imposed 50% tariffs on $20 billion in Canadian goods on Saturday. No investigation required. No time limit. On Monday, Trump announced that tariffs on Canadian cars, trucks, and steel jump to 50% on January 1, 2027. Canada fires back September 8, dollar for dollar.
TWO COUNTRIES. $909 BILLION in annual trade. Both governments just started cutting it apart.
I have been studying history my whole life. And I have seen this movie before. The last time Washington decided to protect Americans from foreign competition with massive tariffs, it was 1930. The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act. It targeted foreign exporters. Within two years, American exports collapsed 61%. Farmers lost their markets. Factories closed. The Depression deepened.
The economists who warned about Smoot-Hawley were ignored. The politicians called it patriotism. The average American paid the price for a decade.
Here is the number that stopped me cold this morning. January 1, 2027 is 128 days away. That is when the 50% auto tariff kicks in on top of everything already in place. The average new car already costs $49,000 in this country. Analysts are projecting that number goes up before any of this is resolved. And resolution? There are no talks scheduled. Carney is not coming back to the table. Trump says we do not need Canada.
The window I asked them to open is closing
I went to this company and asked them to reopen a financing that filled in two weeks. They said yes once. As of this morning, more than 94 percent of the entire offering is committed. What is left is a fraction of what our readers competed for last time. Last time the margin was days. This time I believe it is less.
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That number I mentioned. 128 days. Here is what it means.
Every trade war in history has one winner. It is not the country with the biggest tariff. It is not the politician who declared it. The winner is the person who already moved out of the assets that get destroyed and into the ones that survive every government mess.
When governments fight, currencies weaken. When currencies weaken, real assets hold their value. Gold does not care who wins the tariff war. Silver does not care. Real estate does not care. These assets have survived every empire, every currency collapse, every protectionist catastrophe in the last 5,000 years.
My rich dad taught me one thing about government fights: do not bet on who wins. Bet on what survives regardless. Paper money is a promise. A tariff is a tax. A trade war is a slow leak in your purchasing power. Hard assets are the patch.
I have been in hard assets my entire adult life. Not because I am right about every trade dispute. Because I know governments, and I know what they do when they run out of better ideas. They tax. They inflate. They make your dollars worth less so the bill feels smaller.
Do not let Washington pick your pocket through a 50% tariff you never voted for. The exit from this kind of government-created inflation is the same one it has always been: gold, silver, and assets the government cannot print more of.
To your freedom,
Robert Kiyosaki
Author, Rich Dad Poor Dad
P.S. I asked for this window. It is almost gone. I went to this company and asked them to reopen a financing that filled in two weeks. They said yes once.
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